Thursday, February 17, 2011

Inaccurate News About January Housing Starts

More specifically, the data reported by major news organizations is not technically "inaccurate", it's just very misleading.

A "Housing Start," says Andree Huffine, a popular Sarasota real estate broker, "is defined as a home (or housing unit) on which construction started during the month.+

If you recently saw the news reports on January, 2011 Housing Starts, you would think they went up by over 14% and were at the highest level in 4 years. But actually, annualized nationwide single-family home housing starts, the number most of us are interested in, actually fell by 1% in January to 413,000 units, the lowest level in almost 2 years.

Ths confusing situation is caused by the fact that, while the Census Bureau reports Housing Starts by "property type," newspaper headlines typically lump all three Census Bureau categories into a single value.

Here's how the categories actually were reported for January, 2011 by the Census Bureau:

Single-Family Homes were down 4,000 units, or -1%
2-4 Unit Homes saw a negligible change
5 or more Unit Apartment Building Starts were up by 46,000 units, or +80%

Combined together, thses dat apoints do, infact, represent the reported 14% increase. But, the "surge" in nationwide housing starts reported by most news organizations occurred only in one category, the 5-unit-and-up apartment building category. Single-family housing starts were actually down by 1%, not up at all.

Like many things in the real estate business here in Georgia or elsewere, you need to work with a professional. "Introduce yourself to a reputable mortgage broker and a licensed Realtor and trust the information they provide. Don't just read the headlines and react," says Cheryl Stimac, a prominent Tampa FL real estate agent,

5 comments:

Al Gamay, Atlanta, GA said...

Wow. I had no idea news reports can be this distorted.

Connie Belmont, Sarasota FL realtor said...

Thnaks for the vote of confidence in licensed Realtors. We do strive to provide honest, reliable information to prospective clients

Bradenton FL real estate said...

All news today is so summarized that it can easily be misleading.

I agree that a competent Realtor is an important asset to have on your side when cosnidering a home purchase

Sarasota Florida real estate agent said...

This is very informative stuff. I'll keep reading your blog from now on.

Real Estate of Florida said...

Wow, very interesting stuff. Keep up the good work.